2016 NFL Week 8 Bettor’s Guide


2016 NFL Week 8 Bettor’s Guide
M.D. Wright
10.29.2016

A very good week in Week 7, could have gone 15-0 on money lines except a couple of teams failed to show up, while a couple others blew it in the waning moments.

Last Week:
SU: 10-5
ATS: 9-6

Season:
SU: 71-36
ATS: 57-49-1
_________________________________________________________________

Week 8:
Washington Redskins vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Wembley Stadium
London, United Kingdom
NFL INTERNATIONAL SERIES
9:30 AM EDT
My Call: CIN -3
Over/Under: Over 49.5

Analysis:
The Redskins hope to have Josh Norman and Jordan Reed back from concussion protocol, and they will need all the help they can get. Tyler Eifert being back for the Bengals opens up the field for AJ Green, as Eifert will create one on one match ups in the red zone, which the Bengals sorely missed while he recovered from offseason surgery.

The Redskins defense will get exposed in this game; particularly by Jeremy Hill and especially Giovani Bernard.

Call:
Washington                       22
Cincinnati                          31
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans
NRG Stadium
Houston, Texas
My Call: DET +2.5
Over/Under: Under 46

Analysis:
We do not trust an offense led by Brock Osweiler.

Call:
Detroit                         23
Houston                      13
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, Louisiana
My Call: SEA -2.5
Over/Under: Under 48

Analysis:
This is a tricky game. The Saints are a different, and more explosive team at home, against the league’s best defense. However, Seattle will be without Michael Bennett for this game. Frank Clark will get more snaps in his absence, and it will be interesting to see how well he holds up for 60+ snaps, versus 35 or so in normal duty backing up Bennett and Cliff Avril.

Additionally, Russell Wilson is not physically 100%. With major issues at left tackle, Seattle will have to figure out who they keep in to assist whoever they will have on Wilson’s blind side. As a result, this game may end up being closer than it ordinarily would. The Saints defense isn’t good enough to hold up for four quarters, unlike Arizona’s, or Seattle’s did for 46 minutes through five quarters on Sunday.

Call:
Seattle                    24
New Orleans         20
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
New Era Stadium
Orchard Park, New York
My Call: BUF +6
Over/Under: Under 47

Analysis:
The Bills shut out the Patriots in their first meeting, but that was New England without Tom Brady. Buffalo may not have Lesean McCoy for this game, and their offense has been rather anemic for long stretches at times, particularly when he has been dinged up. We don’t think the Bills have enough to win. 

Call:
New England               26
Buffalo                          22
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland, Ohio
My Call: CLE +2.5
Over/Under: Over 44

Analysis:
The Browns will finally get off the schneid and notch their first (and maybe only) win of 2016.

Call:
NY Jets                   20
Cleveland              26
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Oakland Raiders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa, Florida
My Call: TB +1
Over/Under: Over 49.5

Analysis:
As bad as Tampa has looked at times, they have an opportunity to move into sole possession of first place by virtue of a head to head win against Atlanta (who they play Thursday, to kick off Week 9) and if the Falcons lose to Green Bay in America’s Game of the Week on FOX. It will not be an easy task, however. Tampa has gotten a few guys healthy, and they will need it against Oakland’s top tier offense. Oakland has been leaky on defense, also, therefore you can expect a shootout. Who do you trust more? David Carr behind the best offensive line in the NFL on the road where they excel, or the Heisman Trophy winning National Champion, Jameis Winston at home?

If the Bucs can continue to run the football as they have of late, we like Tampa’s chances.

Call:
Oakland                  24
Tampa Bay            27
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis, Indiana
My Call: KC -2.5
Over/Under: Under 49.5

Analysis:
The Chiefs will be without Jamaal Charles for this one, but they have plenty in the stead without him.

Bob Sutton will have something for Andrew Luck.

All game.

Call:
Kansas City                  27
Indianapolis                17
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, North Carolina
My Call: ARZ +3
Over/Under: Over 47

Analysis:
The Cards will look to rebound from a series of bad decisions and poor execution leading to what could be a critical tie in the W/L/T ledger later in the season, while the Panthers had a bye to rest up and get guys healthy.

However, the Panthers defense still is not good enough.

Call:
Arizona                      34
Carolina                     24
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Denver, Colorado
My Call: SD +4
Over/Under: Under 43.5

Analysis:
The Bolts are basically doing it with smoke and mirrors this season, with multiple players dropping like flies week to week. They usually play Denver tougher than anyone else in the division, and Denver’s offense isn’t exactly high flying right now. However, one of the things they are doing well is protecting the football, which is huge with the type of defense they have. San Diego’s defense is good enough to keep this close, and even win it. Philip Rivers finds a way.

Call:
San Diego                         24
Denver                              17
FINAL

_________________________________________________________________

Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Georgia Dome
Atlanta, Georgia
AMERICA’S GAME OF THE WEEK
My Call: ATL -3
Over/Under: Over 52.5

Analysis:
Rather than getting into deep analysis, this game will almost literally be about who has the ball last. Just take the over and watch. Both defenses (especially against the pass) stink.

Call:
Green Bay                     31
Atlanta                          37
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys
AT&T Stadium
Arlington, Texas
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
My Call: DAL -4
Over/Under: Over 43

Analysis:
Dallas will get whatever they want on the ground against an Eagles defense that cannot stop the run. However, we do think the Eagles will be the first team that will consistently get after Dak Prescott, so it will come down to who can protect the football and will Carson Wentz be able to take advantage of a pass defense that has been protected by an offense that has dominated time of possession all season?

We do not think Wentz is capable just yet.

Call:
Philadelphia                              23
Dallas                                          31
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
Soldier Field
Chicago, Illinois
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
My Call: MIN -4
Over/Under: Under 40.5

Analysis:
The Vikes are coming off a game they had no business losing, in which they got embarrassed in all three phases, and will be salivating with Jay Cutler coming off an injury and missing over a month of football.

They may very well send him right back to the injured list after this game.

Call:
Minnesota                          20
Chicago                               10
FINAL
_________________________________________________________________

BYE: Baltimore (3-4), Los Angeles (3-4), Miami (3-4), NY Giants (4-3), Pittsburgh (4-3), San Francisco (1-6).

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