Old Man Wright & Friends: 2010 NFL Predictions Official Blog


Old Man Wright & Friends: 2010 NFL Predictions Official Blog

M.D. Wright

9.5.2010

If you didn’t get your predictions in on time, then too bad. The end.

Since no one reads intros and preludes, let’s get right to the picks.

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MOOKIE DC’s PICKS:

2010 NFL Predictions – AFC

AFC EAST

New York Jets (12-4)

This team is absolutely stacked. The offense is set, outside of the hole left by the release of Alan Faneca, and the Franchez. I think they’ll be fine, though. Shonn Greene is legit, LaDainian (please.stop.calling.him.LT) Tomlinson looks young again (for now), and once Santonio Holmes gets back they have the best receiving corps in the NFL. The defense is the defense. Though I can’t help but be a little concerned by their lack of depth, something they haven’t even tried to hide on Hard Knocks.

New England Patriots (10-6)

Tom Brady and Randy Moss are both in contract years. Long story short, I’m looking for a HUGE year from both, along the same lines as ’07. Problem is (well, besides the high unlikelihood of the last statement) the defense is going to hemorrhage points. Jerod Mayo is legit, and Brandon Spikes was a steal for them. But they’re gonna have problems. Then again, maybe not. Could be this dynasty’s last hurrah.

Miami Dolphins (9-7)

I’m not sold on their defense yet. Losing Joey Porter won’t hurt as much this year as his dip in production did last year, when he went from 17.5 sacks and the ‘Phins going 11-5 to 9 and 7-9. But it’ll hurt. Karlos Dansby is a better football player, but they need to get to the QB; maybe he’ll help bring the unit together. Vontae Davis will take his place amongst the elite corners of the league (unless the pass rush is awful, not to beat a dead horse).

Buffalo Bills (4-12)

Common sense tried to tell me they won’t win more than two games. But I dunno. They have more than a few interesting names on defense. And CJ Spiller is legit, if he doesn’t get brutalized by week 4.

AFC NORTH

Cincinnati Bengals (12-4)

This is probably crazy. I know. Not as crazy as the thought that the BENGALS would have the best defense in the division. But it’s true. The Ravens are OLD, and the Steelers are getting there. If Antwan Odom comes picks up where he left off, LOOK OUT. I’m also hoping the whole Batman & Robin thing works out. If Carson Palmer can stop playing like a little girl…

Baltimore Ravens (11-5)

That Monday Night game against the Jets is gonna be awesome. But I have reservations about that defense. The secondary is a joke, especially with Ed Reed now on the PUP list and ineligible for the first six games. Ray Lewis is old. Haloti Nhata might be their best defensive player. These are all things that are bad, in case you’re wondering. The offense could be scary, though. Joe Flacco has a cannon, Ray Rice is a beast, Anquan Boldin as well (when he’s on the field). But even Donte’ Stallworth is injured (out for two months). I like this team a lot, but I’m a little worried.

Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)

Sue me. The o-line keeps getting worse. Santonio Holmes is gone and Hines Ward isn’t getting any younger. I like Rashard Mendenhall a lot, but he needs help. More than the Rapist can give him. The defense will still be strong, but not like in the past. James Harrison has quickly become one of the most overrated players in football, though LaMarr Woodley is a monster.

Cleveland Browns (1-15)

DISASTER.

AFC SOUTH

Indianapolis Colts (12-4)

I decided to look at Bob Sanders’ career stats, to see if I could find some loose pattern in the years in which he misses more or less time. What I saw was 15- and 14-game seasons sprinkled in his 6 years. How many games did he play in the other four years, you ask? 18. Yep. Anyway, it’s Peyton Manning. He’s winning 12 on his own. And if Sanders plays double-digit games? Definite Super Bowl run.

Houston Texans (10-6)

Their front-7 is great. But I feel like I’ve been saying that for a while now. The offense will be a juggernaut, however. Matt Schaub has gotten hurt a lot, but they’ve all been unique injuries. If it was karma that kept him on the sidelines, last year would lead us to believe that he paid off his debt. I will forever gloat about Andre Johnson.

Tennessee Titans (8-8)

Unless Derrick Morgan is Javon Kearse 2.0 I don’t see how the defense will be a positive factor at all. Chris Johnson is Chris Johnson, and Vince Young will silence a few doubters. But I can’t see anything better than .500 without a miracle.

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11)

The defense is bad. MJD is great and Garrard is as unspectacular as they come. Mike Sims-Walker is a stud but he’s perpetually injured. Five wins might be too generous, especially if MJD’s knee gives him problems.

AFC WEST

Oakland Raiders (10-6)

As I said before, Jason Campbell will have a better year than Donovan McNabb. I strongly believe it. He’s got a talented, albeit unheralded, group of receivers to throw to, and a decent line in front of him (something he’s never seen before in the NFL). There’s one issue: Michael Bush’s broken thumb. He’s missing the first game, and could miss up to half the season. If he’s out Campbell will really need to step up. The defense is better than most realize. I’ll leave it at that and wait for you to check out the roster; it’s surprisingly impressive.

San Diego Chargers (9-7)

I hate Phillip Rivers, but he’s incredible. Maybe the best arm (strength/accuracy) in football. But he’s gonna miss Vincent Jackson. People keep saying Malcom Floyd will step right in and everything will be fine because he’s similar height and weight (6’5″ 225), but that’s a little ridiculous. Jackson is a great player. What’s even worse, Pro Bowl left tackle Marcus McNeil is holding out as well, though the front office seems a bit more motivated to get him back on board (I hope so, for Ryan Matthews’ sake…). The defense is a nightmare. Shawne Merriman is just above average, Shaun Phillips is overrated trash… the front-7 is really bad. Quentin Jammer and Antoine Cason are good, but corners aren’t shit when there’s no pass rush.

Kansas City Chiefs (8-8)

They have a very easy schedule, and they’ve done a lot on both sides of the ball. Eric Berry will be a superstar, and fast. Brandon Flowers is also a stud. And the front-7 is surprisingly good. On offense, I don’t particularly like Matt Cassell, but Dwayne Bowe is talented, and crazy as it sounds, Chris Chambers is still good. He played pretty well in his 9 games in KC. The o-line is getting better, and they have a three-headed-monster at RB: Jamaal Charles, Thomas Jones and Dexter McCluster. Thomas Jones is at the wrong end of 30 and coming off his heaviest workload of his career, so while he’ll be valuable in the red zone, he won’t put much of a dent in Charles’ production. McCluster is like a tough Reggie Bush sans the hype; he might catch 60 passes. Watch out for him.

Denver Broncos (5-11)

I’m really high on Knowshon Moreno. I’m hoping he can stay healthy (partially torn hamstring kept him out of the entire preseason). But after him, there’s not much on offense. The line is solid at least. The defense lost Elvis Dumerville, and I don’t know what they’re gonna do without him. Champ Bailey is ageless, but without a pass rush…

2010 NFL Predictions – NFC

NFC EAST

DALLAS COWBOYS (11-5)

If it weren’t fuckin Tony Romo I’d definitely put money on him to win NFL MVP at 12-1 odds. I wouldn’t take Dez Bryant at 2-1 (only because I tend to put big money down if I’m doing single bets, and 2-1 on a future bet ain’t worth it), but he’ll have supplanted Roy Williams by week 4; if not on the depth chart then certainly in Romo’s eyes. DeMarcus Ware is DeMarcus Ware, Jay Ratliff is starting to (deservedly) become a household name, and Mike Jenkins will be soon enough. But that’s really all they got on the defensive side of the ball. Plus, Wade Phillips is a clown. But that offense is far too good for this team to not make the playoffs at the very least, if not take the division.

New York Football Giants (10-6)

I’m trying to keep my expectations in check on this team, but it’s tough. I’m not Eli Manning’s biggest fan by any stretch, but if you pay attention at all you’ll know he’s damn good. And there’s a ton of talent around him, too. Hakeem Nicks is in line for a breakout year, and Steve Smith-12 has proven himself reliable in the truest sense of the word. Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs are both healthy (not the case for either one last year), and should combine for around 2,000 and 20. And as far as I’m concerned last year’s defensive output was an aberration, for a number of reasons, and they’ll be back this year.

Washington Redskins (8-8)

Since the McNabb trade I’ve said anything less than 8-8 would be a disappointment, while too much more would be a shock. The more I’ve thought about it, the more I’ve realized how optimistic that viewpoint actually is. Donovan McNabb is one of the most underrated players of the last decade, if not all time, but he just isn’t that good any more. To go further, Jason Campbell is a better quarterback RIGHT NOW. I’m a huge fan of McNabb, but for every great play he makes, he’ll leave you scratching your head twice. I hope I’m wrong.

(Give Jason Campbell this o-line and see how he produces on the field and progresses as a player. In his four years in DC I can think of one or two linemen he played behind who made it a full 16 games in a single season.)

I’m overly optimistic about the running game. I hope a younger, more athletic o-line will work well with Shanahan’s run schemes. I hope Portis is healthy enough to stay healthy for 16 games, considering he’ll actually have help behind him now. I hope Ryan Torain steps up like I’ve foreseen in him since he was a senior in college. Odds are all of these things come true, but to a degree much lesser than they need to in order to be a playoff team. Again, I hope I’m wrong.

The defense is as deep as I remember having in quite some time. Haynesworth is happy (enough to keep his mouth relatively shut), the pass rush will be very good (minimizing the negative impact of DeAngelo Fall’s gambling)… but no matter how good a defense is, it can’t be effective if it’s constantly on the field.

Here’s to hope and optimism. Oh, and GRAHAM GANO!!!

Philadelphia Eagles (5-11)

I see three wins on their schedule. Three. I gave ’em five ’cause I figure they’ll steal one here and there, but I just don’t think this team is that good. The defense is a shell of what it used to be. Kolb put up some nice numbers in a couple games last year, but once in a win against the lowly Chiefs, and once in a bad loss to the Saints, and he threw three picks in the game. DeSean Jackson is as great a playmaker as he is a jackass, and he is world class in both. LeSean McCoy is a stud, and will be for the 12 touches/game Andy Reid gives him. Bad news all around.

NFC NORTH

Minnesota Vikings (10-6)

I have them in first because of their defense, but I won’t be surprised in the slightest if the Pack finish ahead of ’em. I feel like Favre is the type of guy who will hang on a year too long, and this might be that year. Even if he’s as good as he was last year, who’s he throwing to? Harvin is having his migraine issues and does anyone really trust newly acquired Javon Walker? (Well, I do, enough to sign him to the fantasy squad -and possibly start him week 1 – at least.) As for Peterson… last year left a bit of a bitter taste in my mouth; I won my championship, but his production declined for the 2nd straight year. Don’t let the TDs fool you. This may be due to a negative bias I have, but I don’t trust him this year. Not at all.

Green Bay Packers (9-7)

I have them in second because of their defense, I won’t be surprised in the slightest if it costs them every single game they lose. Aaron Rodgers is the most physically gifted QB in the NFL (to this day I can’t understand how the 9ers passed on him. Someone needs to answer this), Donald Driver is ageless, Greg Jennings is a stud, James Jones and Jordy Nelson might be the best #3/#4 combo there is, and Jermichael Finley is a sweet name (pretty good player, too). I’m not a huge Ryan Grant fan but he’s good enough. That defense is just too easy to hang points on.

Detroit Lions (6-10)

They have a few nice pieces on both sides of the ball. Really nice pieces. Doubters of Matt Stafford, you’re fools. He’s the real deal. Megatron is a BEAST, and Kevin Smith and Jahvid Best will be a really good duo, even though I refuse to believe Best is alive right now. I WATCHED HIM DIE. Anywho… Louis Delmas is a stud. Suh (can’t spell his first name from memory yet), is gonna be great immediately. I don’t think they’ll put it all together until 2011, but they’ll scare a bunch of teams – and could steal a game or two and finish with 7-8 wins.

Chicago Bears (4-12)

If you believe in Mike Martz then you might think this is way too low. Of course, Martz was successful with Kurt Warner, who could piss through a Cheerio. Jay Cutler? Not so much. I don’t think he throws 26 picks again. I mean, he can’t… right? As for the defense, Tommie Harris won’t play, Brian Urlacher can’t, and Julius Peppers will refuse to. Not good.

NFC SOUTH

Atlanta Falcons (10-6)

I’m really high on Atlanta this year. I wanted to give ’em 12 wins, but I couldn’t find all of them. It won’t surprise me, though. Michael Turner is healthy, and Matt Ryan is going to have his best year yet. Roddy White will be in Pro-Bowl contention, as will Gonzo of course. Their defense has been really small in recent years, but they’ve mostly been together for a few years now. Add in Dunta Robinson… I like ’em a lot.

New Orleans Saints (10-6)

I can’t help but wonder if 10 wins is too much. Last years title run was a joke – sorry Saints fans, but it’s a fact. If Trent Dilfer is the butt of every Super Bowl QB joke, the Saints’ defense has to be similarly considered. Giving a defense the ‘opportunistic’ tag is almost exactly like the ‘great personality’ tag. The Saints’ defense was VERY opportunistic last year. The offense is still a juggernaut so they’ll be in contention again… for the division and not much more.

Carolina Panthers (8-8)

They won eight games with JAKE DELHOMME at QB. Matt Moore ain’t much, Jimmy Clausen ain’t much more, but THEY AIN’T JAKE DELHOMME DEAR GOD. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are easily the best RB duo in the NFL, and Steve Smith-89 is still the real Steve Smith, at least for this year. The defense is kinda sad though, outside of Jon Beason and Chris Gamble. If all goes well they won’t have to be on the field for too long.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-13)

Josh Freeman is like a motivated JaMarcus Russell, which makes him a pretty good prospect. But he’s very much a prospect. Kellen Winslow should have a big year as his safety blanket (for my fantasy squad). Their two best receivers are Arrelious Benn and Mike Williams, both rookies. And while Cadillac Williams is a serviceable player, he’s not much more than that, if he makes it through the season. The defense has a looooooong way to go. One thing they have going for them is possibly the best name in football, Stylez G White.

NFC WEST

San Francisco 49ers (10-6)

If Alex Smith can somehow build on his play from last year, I wouldn’t be shocked by 13 wins. Their schedule is that easy. Frank Gore is a stud, and I’m hoping he has a monster year (again, for the fantasy squad). I’ll settle for a full 16 games (which probably would translate into a huge year).

Arizona Cardinals (7-9)

This is extremely generous, but I like the defense a lot. DRC is a top 5 corner in the league (maybe top 3), they added Joey Porter to bolster their pass rush, Calais Campbell will continue his upward trend in production. Too bad they didn’t keep Karlos Dansby and Antrel Rolle, they could’ve been an elite unit. No QB could cause some issues, but the o-line could be pretty good, and while I hate him, Beanie Wells is very talented (albeit Charmin soft).

Seattle Seahawks (4-12)

Until I see them play well, I’m not getting anywhere near that bandwagon. I am excited to see if Mike Williams – THAT Mike Williams – can redeem himself. Definitely pulling for that to happen (even if he weren’t on the fantasy team).

St Louis Rams (1-15)

I just don’t see who they can beat. I like Sam Bradford but he has no protection and nobody to throw to. I don’t know what Steven Jackson did to deserve this fate, but it must’ve been AWFUL.

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STEVE LEFFEW’S PICKS:

AFC EAST

New England

New York Jets

Miami

Buffalo

AFC NORTH

Baltimore

Pittsburgh

Cincinnati

Cleveland

AFC SOUTH

Indianapolis

Houston

Tennessee

Jacksonville

AFC WEST (worst division in football)

San Diego

Oakland

Denver

Kansas City

NFC EAST

Dallas

New York FOOTBALL Giants

Philadephia

Washington

NFC NORTH

Green Bay

Minnesota

Detroit

Chicago

NFC SOUTH

New Orleans

Atlanta

Carolina

Tampa Bay

NFC WEST

San Francisco

Seattle

Arizona

St. Louis

AFC PLAYOFF TEAMS

BYES Baltimore, Indy

WILD CARD: Houston, Jets

1st round: Houston over San Diego, New England over Jets

Divisional Round: Baltimore over Houston, New England over Indy

AFC Championship: Baltimore over New England

NFC PLAYOFF TEAMS

BYES New Orleans, Green Bay

Wild Card: Minnesota, Atlanta

1st Round: Dallas over Atlanta, Minnesota over San Francisco

Divisional Round: New Orleans over Minnesota (again), Green Bay over Dallas

NFC Championship: Green Bay over New Orleans

SUPER BOWL

Green Bay over Baltimore 38-27

—————————–

TOM MULCAHY’S PICKS:

AFC

EAST

1. New England Patriots 11-5

2. Miami Dolphins 9-7

3. New York Jets 8-8

4. Buffalo Bills 5-11

NORTH

1.Baltimore Ravens 11-5

2. Pittsburgh Steelers 10-6

3. Cincinatti Bengals 8-8

4. Cleveland Browns 4-12

SOUTH

1. Indianapolis Colts 13-3

2.Tennesee Titans 9-7

3. Houston Texans 8-8

4.Jacksonville Jaguars 6-10

WEST

1. San Diego Chargers 12-4

2. Oakland Raiders 7-9

3. Kansas City Chiefs 6-10

4. Denver Broncos 5-11

NFC

EAST

1. Dallas Cowboys 12-4

2. Philadelphia Eagles 9-7

3. New York Giants 8-8

4. Washington Redskins 6-10

NORTH

1. Green Bay Packers 12-4

2. Minnesota Vikings 10-6

3. Detroit Lions 6-10

4. Chicago Bears 5-11

SOUTH

1. New Orleans Saints 10-6

2. Atlanta Falcons 9-7

3. Carolina Panthers 8-8

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-11

WEST

1. San Francisco 49ers 10-6

2. Seattle Seahawks 7-9

3. Arizona Cardinals 5-11

4. St. Louis Rams 4-12

PLAYOFFS

AFC

1. Indianapolis Colts

2. San Diego Chargers

3. Baltimore Ravens

4. New England Patriots

5. Pittsburgh Steelers

6. Tennesee Titans

Wild Card

3.Baltimore 24

6.Tennesee 17

4.New England 31

5.Pittsburgh 27

Divisonal

4. New England 28

1. Indianapolis 24

2. San Diego 27

3. Baltimore 21

AFC Championship Game

4. New England 35

2. San Diego 27

NFC

1. Green Bay Packers

2. Dallas Cowboys

3. New Orleans Saints

4. San Fransico 49ers

5. Minnesota Vikings

6. Philadelphia Eagles

Wild Card

3. New Orleans 38

6. Philadelphia 31

5. Minnesota 27

4. San Fransisco 21

Divisonal

1. Green Bay 31

5. Minnesota 28

2. Dallas 35

3. New Orleans 21

NFC Championship Game

1. Green Bay Packers 30

2. Dallas Cowboys 23

SUPER BOWL

1. Green Bay Packers 34

4. New England Patriots 27

Super Bowl Champion Green Bay Packers

Super Bowl MVP – Aaron Rodgers

AFC MVP- Chris Johnson

NFC MVP- Aaron Rodgers

————————

RASHAAD PEREZ’S PICKS:

Here’s my picks and outlook for the upcoming NFL Season which starts on Thursday

Z- Conference leader, Homefield Y- Division, X- clinched Playoff Berth

Division Standings

AFC

AFC East

1) Jets 11-5-Y

2) Patriots 10-6-x

3) Dolphins 9-7

4) Bills 5-11

AFC North

1) Bengals 11-5-Y

2) Steelers 9-7

3) Ravens 9-7

4) Browns 4-12

AFC South

1) Colts 13-3-Z

2) Texans 9-7-x

3) Titans 9-7

4) Jags 5-11

AFC West

1) Raiders 8-8- Y

2) Chargers 8-8

3) Broncos 7-9

4) Chiefs 4-12

Playoffs

Byes: Colts- Z Jets (by virtue of head to head tiebreaker, they will defeat Cincy in Week 12)

Wild Card round:

Bengals (3) def. Texans (6)

Patriots (5) def. Raiders (4)

Divisional Round:

Colts (1) def. Patriots (5)

Jets (2) def. Bengals (3)

Conference

Jets (2) def. Colts (1)

NFC

NFC East

1) Cowboys 11-5- Y

2) Giants 10-6- X

3) Redskins 8-8

4) Eagles 7-9

NFC North

1) Packers 11-5-Y

2) Vikings 10-6-X

3) Lions 7-9

4) Bears 5-11

NFC South

1) Saints 13-3-Z

2) Panthers 9-7

3) Falcons 8-8

4) Buccaneers 3-13

NFC West

1) 49ers 10-6- Y

2) Cardinals- 8-8

3) Seahawks 7-9

4) Rams 2-14

Playoffs

Byes: Saints-Z, Packers-X by virtue of head to head tiebreaker, (they will defeat Dallas in Week 9)

Wild Card:

NYG (5) def. SF (4)

Vikings (6) def. Cowboys (3)

Divisional Round

Saints (1) def. Vikings (6)

Packers (2) def. Giants (5)

Conference Champ.

Saints (1) def. Packers (2)

Superbowl Pick

Jets (AFC) def. Saints (NFC) 27-14

End of Year Awards

MVP: Drew Brees, Saints

D-POTY: Partick Willis, 49ers

O-POTY: Adrian Peterson, Vikings

D- ROY: Ndamukong Suh, Lions

O- ROY: Ryan Matthews, Chargers

COY- Rex Ryan, Jets

————————–

WILL HERBERT’S PICKS:

AFC East – New England, Jets, Miami, Buffalo

AFC North – Baltimore, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Cleveland

AFC South – Tennessee, Indianapolis, Houston, Jacksonville

AFC West – San Diego, Oakland, Kansas City, Denver

AFC Wildcard Teams – Jets, Cincinnati

NFC East – Giants, Dallas, Washington, Philadelphia

NFC North – Green Bay, Minnesota, Detroit, Chicago

NFC South – New Orleans, Atlanta, Carolina, Tampa Bay

NFC West – San Francisco, Arizona, St. Louis, Seattle

NFC Wildcard Teams – Minnesota, Atlanta

AFC Playoffs

Jets beat Patriots

Bengals beat Chargers

Jets beat Ravens

Titans beat Bengals

Titans beat Jets

NFC Playoffs

Falcons beat Giants

Vikings beat 49ers

Packers beat Falcons

Vikings beat Saints

Vikings beat Packers

Super Bowl

Vikings beat Titans in an epic game

———————-

JAYSON ALBERT’S PICKS:

AFC East: Jets, *Pats, Fins, Bills

AFC North: Ravens, *Steelers, Bengals, Browns

AFC South: Colts, Texans, Titans, Jaguars

AFC West: Chargers, Raiders, Broncos, Chiefs

NFC East: Cowboys, Giants, Redskins, Eagles

NFC North: Packers, *Viks, Lions, Bears

NFC South: Falcons, *Saints, Panthers, Bucs

NFC West, Niners, Cards, Rams, Seahawks

* denotes WC team.

—————————

ARTHUR WARNER-KAMSLER’S PICKS:

AFC East:

Jets

Pats

Dolphins

Bills

AFC North:

Ravens

Bengals

Steelers

Browns

AFC South

Colts

Texans

Titans

Jags

AFC West

Chargers

Broncos (Thats my pick thats most likely to be wrong)Raiders

Chiefs (Cassel’s contract is going to screw them over until it runs out)

NFC East

Boys

Eagles

Giants (could pass the Eagles if I see they are actually good defensively and Kenny Phillips/Bullock are healthy)

Skins

NFC North

Packers

Vikings

Lions

Bears

NFC South

Saints

Falcons

Panthers (to answer your question Beason, Gamble, Brandon LaFell, Jordan Gross but to be fair I have played a disgusting amount of madden in the past week)

Bucs (I like them but Freeman’s injury scares me)

NFC West

49ers

Seahawks

Cards

Rams

—————————–

AHK’ ASKIA’S PICKS:

Divisonal winners…

AFC….PatriotsBengalsTitansChargers

NFC….CowboysPackersSaintsSeahawks

Playoffs…

AFC…

Patriots

Jets

Titans

Bengals

Chargers

Ravens

NFC…

Cowboys

Giants

Packers

Vikings

Seahawks

Saints

Conference Championships….

AFC…Patriots vs Bengals

NFC…Cowboys vs Packers

Superbowl….

Bengals vs Packers

WINNER….

Packers

——————————————————————-

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