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2014 NFL Week 12 Bettor’s Guide

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2014 NFL Week 12 Bettor’s Guide
M.D. Wright
11.20.2014

Brutal week. Several upsets, and failed covers.

Last Week:
SU: 5-9
ATS: 6-8

Season:
SU: 96-65
ATS: 82-78
__________________________________________________________

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders
Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Oakland, California
Oakland Raiders 13

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
My Call: KC -7
Over/Under: Under 42.5

Analysis:
The only question here is if the Raiders will cover.

Call:
Kansas City                             24
Oakland                                     9
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons
Georgia Dome
Atlanta, Georgia
Atlanta Falcons 3

My Call: CLE +3
Over/Under: Over 47

Analysis:
The Browns get Josh Gordon back, and the Falcons get William Moore back. Julio Jones is sick at the moment, but should play Sunday. The Falcons defense is still suspect, however. The Browns will be all over Matt Ryan, and a turnover will do the Falcons in late.

Call:
Cleveland                         27
Atlanta                             24
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Tennessee Titans vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Philadelphia Eagles 4

My Call: TEN +11
Over/Under: Over 48.5

Analysis:
Don’t be so sure that the Eagles will cover those 11 points with the way they play football.

Call:
Tennessee                           23
Philadelphia                        27
FINAL
__________________________________________________________

Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots
Gillette Stadium
Foxborough, Massachusetts
New England Patriots 11

 

 

 

 

 

 

My Call: DET +7
Over/Under: Over 48

Analysis:
If anyone can beat New England at home, it is Detroit with their defense and offensive playmakers.

Call:
Detroit                              26
New England                   24
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings
TCF Stadium
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings 15

My Call: GB -9.5
Over/Under: Over 48.5

Analysis:
The Packers’ style of play is portable. The Vikes love to blitz and Aaron Rodgers dares teams to blitz him. Green Bay will continue picking apart opponents, even away from Lambeau.

Call:
Green Bay                               37
Minnesota                               24
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis, IndianaIndianapolis Colts

My Call: JAX +14
Over/Under: Over 50.5

Analysis:
The Colts will win, but the Jags are coming off a bye and the Colts are too wishy washy to trust them to cover 14, even to a very bad team. The Jags can move the football, however, which should not be discounted here.

Call:
Jacksonville                                   23
Indianapolis                                  31
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans
NRG Stadium
Houston, Texas
Houston Texans 12

My Call: CIN +1
Over/Under: Over 43.5

Analysis:
Really difficult to think that Ryan Mallett will be any more successful with moving the football against the Bengals’ pass defense than Drew Brees managed last week. The Texans give up tons of rushing yardage, and if Giovani Bernard returns to partner with Jeremy Hill, that will certainly continue.

Call:
Cincinnati                                 24
Houston                                    20
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
Location to Be Determined
My Call: BUF -3
Over/Under: No Line

Analysis:
Location does not really matter here. The Bills defense will be all over Michael Vick all game.

Call:
NY Jets                             13
Buffalo                             23
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears
Soldier Field
Chicago, Illinois
Chicago Bears 11

My Call: TB +6
Over/Under: Over 46

Analysis:
This is an interesting matchup. The Bucs are active defensively. And they seem to have found themselves offensively, as well. The Bears are skitzo offensively, and porous defensively. The Bucs should cover, and have a good chance of winning.

Call:
Tampa Bay                               26
Chicago                                    23
FINAL – OT
__________________________________________________________

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks
CenturyLink Field
Seattle, Washington
Seattle Seahawks 3

My Call: ARZ +6.5
Over/Under: Under 41.5

Analysis:
This is the showdown of the week. It is a shame that Carson Palmer will not be able to play. Drew Stanton is capable, but Seattle is going to force Stanton to make all the throws all game long. Arizona will be able to bottle up Marshawn Lynch and prevent Russell Wilson from running off the edges. Seattle does not have the playmakers on the outside to trust them covering a touchdown, however.

Call:
Arizona                              13
Seattle                               17
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

St. Louis Rams vs. San Diego Chargers
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, California
San Diego Chargers 3

My Call: SD -4.5
Over/Under: Under 43.5

Analysis:
The Bolts have not looked good offensively over the past four games, and that is amid concerns that Philip Rivers has an understated injury with his ribs. San Diego’s offense has bottomed out and become sluggish. However, the Rams are an enigma. Some weeks they surrender well over 400 yards of offense. Some weeks they are shutdown. Shaun Hill doesn’t quite have enough to beat the Bolts on the road, however.

Call:
St. Louis                           15
San Diego                         24
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos
Sports Authority Stadium at Mile High
Denver, Colorado
Denver Broncos 4

My Call: MIA +7
Over/Under: Over 48

Analysis:
The Fins defense is portable. The B-men have shown chinks in the armor. It is probably too much to ask to think the Fins will win in Denver, but this is Miami’s season. They have to win this game to swing tiebreakers in their favor, and maintain others (over San Diego). Do not be surprised if Miami wins.

Call:
Miami                       27
Denver                    24
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Washington Redskins vs. San Francisco 49ers
Levi’s Stadium
Santa Clara, California
San Francisco 49ers 18

My Call: WSH +9
Over/Under: Under 44

Analysis:
Don’t even bother.

Call:
Washington                       16
San Francisco                    23
FINAL
__________________________________________________________

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Football Giants
Giants Stadium
East Rutherford, New Jersey
Giants Stadium 1

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
My Call: NYG +3
Over/Under: Over 47.5

Analysis:
Dallas is coming off a bye, where Tony Romo was able to convalesce a bit. Division games between these two tend to be close, and the Giants still have what it takes to beat Dallas when they are not shooting themselves in the foot. There are several reasons this game was not flexed out, despite the Giants’ record: ratings being one, the fact that it will be close and competitive (with playoff implications for Dallas) being one of the others.

Call:
Dallas                                       23
NY Giants                                 27
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, Louisiana
New Orleans Saints 4

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
My Call: BAL +3
Over/Under: Under 50

Analysis:
The way the Saints have looked at home this season does not portend well for them in this game. The Ravens are stout on both their offensive and defensive lines. Their offensive line will push around the Saints (who will have to play more zone with their injuries in the secondary), and their defense will be all over Drew Brees — who lost Brandin Cooks for the season — all game. It’s down to Marques Colston, Kenny Stills and Jimmy Graham. That is not enough for the Saints. It has shown recently, and will show again Monday night.

Call:
Baltimore                                  24
New Orleans                             20
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

FINAL BYES OF THE SEASON: Pittsburgh (7-4), Carolina (3-7-1).

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2014 NFL Week 11: What We Know

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2014 NFL Week 11: What We Know
M.D. Wright
11.19.2014

We know Roger Goodell is a huge hypocrite; as his handling of the Adrian Peterson case proved once again. We know the Raiders are still winless. And we know that Josh Gordon is back. We also know that Marshawn Lynch is a good samaritan (although his longtime fans and supporters have known this for years), we are reminded today: http://www.foxsports.com/buzzer/story/marshawn-lynch-lost-wallet-seahawks-fan-111914

– The Bills offense is garbage. Regardless of who the quarterback is. This was proven yet again in Miami.

– Chris Hogan is finally getting a chance to shine.

– Ryan Tannehill continues to take what defenses give him, and use his athleticism as an advantage against pass rushers.

– When Tannehill is over 65% completion percentage, the Fins almost always win. Otherwise, they almost always lose. To say the Fins go as Tannehill goes is not an overstatement.

– Mario Williams gets taken for granted because of his contract, but his manhandling of the Fins’ RT Dallas Thomas was a thing of beauty.

– The 49ers aren’t legitimate contenders, regardless of what talking heads on FOX and ESPN continue to parrot, as if this is 2012 or 2013, as evidenced by their inability to bury a team that can’t get out of its own way.

– San Francisco continues to settle for field goals when touchdowns are going to be necessary against great teams down the line. This is why they are not going anywhere far, regardless of what Aldon Smith and NaVorro Bowman do. Or Chris Borland.

– Odell Beckham continues to impress, despite being double teamed quite often vs. San Francisco; still managing nearly 100 yards receiving, including one of the best catches of the season.

– As did Larry Donnell. Nearly twice, actually — the second on what would have been a go-ahead touchdown in the midst of the Giants throwing 997 fade passes and not rushing the football a single time in goal to go late in the game.

– Everyone carves up the Chicago Bears porous defense. Teddy Bridgewater had 58 yards passing entering the 4th quarter. Go figure.

– Jay Cutler naturally decides to play well against one of the best pass rushes in the league, but can’t beat paltry defenses. Makes sense.

– Alshon Jeffery yawn.

– Josh Gordon’s suspension could not have ended soon enough for Brian Hoyer and the Cleveland Browns’ playoff sakes.

– Alfred Blue MERCY.

– Ryan Mallett was okay, not great, in his first real start.

– Marshawn Lynch can do whatever he wants when he consistently produces the way he has over his eight-year NFL career.

– Jamaal Charles gets 20 (22 actually) touches. The Chiefs win. Move along. Nothing to see here.

– The Chiefs win a game in rather strong fashion despite only getting 108 passing yards from Alex Smith.

– The Chiefs’ WRs still don’t have any receiving touchdowns. Or do they?

– Happy Trails Antone Smith.

– Kelvin Benjamin appeared to have Offensive Rookie of the Year sewn up a month ago. Now he has competition with Mike Evans and Odell Beckham. Considering none of them are playoff bound, it will be very interesting how this is voted.

– Benjamin did himself no harm with 109 yards receiving and a clutch touchdown in a comeback attempt for the Panthers that fell short.

– Jeremy Hill continues to grind teams down with his 25+ rushing efforts.

– What in the world have the Saints come to that they can only muster 10 points at home?

– As I have said since July, the Saints were going to/are missing Darren Sproles and his intangibles a lot more than they let on. Plus they just lost Brandin Cooks for the season. Good luck with that.

– Tre Mason continues to get it done.

– Shaun Hill back.

– Broncos?

– MIKE EVANS.

– The Bolts need to tighten up (pun intended), because they have not looked good offensively in weeks. Maybe Rivers’ ribs really are banged.

– The Eagles were humbled, as their flimsy offense was shot to smithereens.

– Aaron Rodgers continues to prove that he is the most accurate and efficient QB in the NFL.

– Larry Fitzgerald sprains his MCL and continues to play like a hoss.

– Andrew Luck continues to come up short in big games, no one says a word.

– JONAS GRAY.

– Le’Veon “Diamonds” Bell closed out the Titans, just before the Steelers nearly had another letdown against the scourge of the NFL.

 

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2014 NFL Week 12 Powre Rankings

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2014 NFL Week 12 Powre Rankings
M.D. Wright
11.18.2014

Unlike in the ESPN propaganda-driven College Football Playoff, the rankings in the NFL are based upon wins, losses, and how a team is trending week to week; where inane banter about strength of schedule is worthless — as there are no “easy games” in the NFL — if you fail to bring your game, you will get your ass beat. The Steelers nearly found that out before sensibly and finally getting back to dancing with who “brung ‘em”, in Le’Veon Bell. Furthermore, even the tiebreaker scenario to determine strength of victory in the NFL is solely based upon the teams’ RECORDS vs. certain teams; not a biased observer’s perception of one conference or division over the other.

WITH THAT, HERE ARE THE RANKINGS (WITH NO TEAM WITH TWO LOSSES SUPERSEDING A TEAM WITH ONE LOSS):

1. Arizona Cardinals (9-1).
9-1 is 9-1, regardless of who the QB is, and how many injuries the Cards have, they continue to get it done every week.

2. New England Patriots (8-2).
The Patriots are white hot, but again, you are not going to surpass a team with fewer losses when they are getting the job done just as well.

3. Green Bay Packers (7-3).
No one wants to go to Lambeau in January. Or November, for that matter, with the way the Packers operate with fluidity on offense.

4. Kansas City Chiefs (7-3).
The Chiefs are 7-0 when Jamaal Charles gets 20+ touches, and 0-3 when he is injured and/or does not get 20 touches. Again, a weekly reminder to Andy Reid.

5. Detroit Lions (7-3).
The Lions do not have any reason to hang their heads after losing to a team that has had their number for years, and is the best in the NFL.

6. Denver Broncos (7-3).
Baffling loss by the B-men, and some injuries to boot.

7. Cincinnati Bengals (6-3-1).
The tie vs. Carolina may end up benefiting the Bengals in the end when it comes to divisional tiebreakers.

8. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4).
The Steelers perform a lot like the Florida State Seminoles, except they have failed to flip the switch in the 2nd halves of games when they have lost.

9. Indianapolis Colts (6-4).
The Colts are lowkey just like the Bengals when it comes to primetime games, but… sips tea. And they will miss Ahmad Bradshaw, who has been critical to their passing game all season.

10. Baltimore Ravens (6-4).
The Ravens have a nice break at the right time, and a chance to make progress in the division.

11. Miami Dolphins (6-4).
The Fins are still within shouting distance in the division, particularly if they are able to sweep the Patriots and get some help down the stretch.

12. San Diego Chargers (6-4).
The Bolts looked sour coming off the bye, but a win is a win.

13. Seattle Seahawks (6-4).
Injuries have caught up with them.

14. Philadelphia Eagles (7-3).
A much needed/expected humbling from a team that has been getting by on some of the most otherworldly luck/officiating imaginable.

15. Dallas Cowboys (7-3).
Beating Jacksonville does not earn Dallas any extra points. Their slate gets tougher from here; starting against a game Football Giants team that will be doing everything it can to ruin Dallas’ playoff hopes.

16. Cleveland Browns (6-4).
Embarrassing loss by the Browns.

17. Houston Texans (5-5).
Ryan Mallett should have been the starter over Ryan Fitzpatrick all along.

18. San Francisco 49ers (6-4).
This team is putrid offensively. They  count on teams screwing up offensively in order to win. Should very well be 3-7.

19. Buffalo Bills (5-5).
Buffalo needs to tighten up; particularly with a sensible offensive game plan that will actually work in the NFL.

20. St. Louis Rams (4-6).
The Rams and 49ers are closer to each other than the 49ers and Cardinals.

21. Atlanta Falcons (4-6).
Are the Falcons considered to be “surging” at 4-6?

22. New Orleans Saints (4-6).
You know “The ship be sinkin’” when the Saints can only muster 10 points AT HOME against a team that has been a relative sieve of late.

23. Chicago Bears (4-6).
Chicago finally wins a game at home, eleven weeks into the season. This may be a record.

24. Minnesota Vikings (4-6).
Minnesota should be ashamed that they were unable to do anything to take advantage of a Bears defense that couldn’t stop a team’s 7 on 7 drills with 15 players, if they had to.

25. Carolina Panthers (3-7-1).
The Panthers showed some resilience late in the game, after being down 16-3, but alas, they continued their losing ways.

26. Tennessee Titans (2-8).
The Titans thought they had the Steelers beat, but then forgot how to stop the run.

27. New York Jets (2-8).
Will the BYE help Michael Vick further assimilate into Marty Mornhinweg’s offense?

28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8).
The Bucs have appeared to have found something offensively in Mike Evans.

29. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9).
Only because the teams beneath them haven’t even looked semi-competent with much more talent. 

30. Washington Redskins (3-7).
Everything is imploding around Bob Knee, and much of it is a disaster of his own (unaccountable) making.

31. New York Football Giants (3-7).
This team is trending into the sewers with each passing week. The defense played well enough to win, then Eli Manning has one of the worst games he has ever had in the NFL. A complete mess that will not get better anytime soon.

32. Oakland Raiders (0-10).
The Raiders will go 0-16 and still won’t benefit from it, as they would be fools to draft another QB early in the draft. Then again, these ARE the Raiders…

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2014 NFL Week 11 Bettor’s Guide

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2014 NFL Week 11 Bettor’s Guide
M.D. Wright
11.13.2014

Got a couple of scores exactly right, came within two points of getting another exactly right, and completely blew it with three others. Some serious point shaving seemed to be taking place in East Rutherford, but just as the world may never know about how many licks it takes to get to the center of a Tootsie Roll pop, we will never know if the Steelers truly were shaving points or the Justin Bieber Jinx was in full effect; much like Taylor Swift jinxes the New York Knicks nightly with her hipster presence at Madison Square Garden, somehow as an “ambassador” for “Welcome to New York City.”

Last Week:
SU: 9-4
ATS: 7-6

Season:
SU: 91-56
ATS: 76-70-1
__________________________________________________________________

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Sun Life Stadium
Miami Gardens, Florida
Miami Dolphins 12

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
My Call: BUF +4
Over/Under: Over 41

Analysis:
If we know anything about the NFL nowadays, with the drastic rules changes and how short weeks tend to go there are two things that have generally held true: 1) the home team usually fares better, and 2) defense is portable. Buffalo has defense. Will travel. Miami has defense, as well. You have two inconsistent QBs in this game, and two decent rushing offenses, to boot. Both teams get after the QB. Tannehill is leagues more mobile than Kyle Orton, but it may not aid Tannehill much to attempt to run against the Buffalo front. Which teams’ WRs will be able to get open downfield? Do you trust Sammy Watkins, Bob Woods, Scott Chandler and Chris Hogan, or do you trust Mike Wallace, Jarvis Landry, Charles Clay and Brian Hartline? This game is a tough call, because it could go either way, and may come down to a final drive. Go with your gut.

Call:
Buffalo                           23
Miami                             20
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland, Ohio
Cleveland Browns 14

My Call: CLE -3
Over/Under: Over 41.5

Analysis:
If only the Texans had a legitimate QB…

Call:
Houston                     17
Cleveland                  26
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
Soldier Field
Chicago, Illinois
Chicago Bears 11

My Call: MIN +3
Over/Under: Over 46.5

Analysis:
The season began with the Bears being unable to win at home, but beating some tough teams on the road. Now they cannot win anywhere, and giving up boatloads of yards and points every game. Baffling how this same team went to Atlanta and shut down a team that is lethal at home, but goes on to give up 50 points in back to back games (granted, both were on the road in tough environs). The Vikes will not get Adrian Peterson back until next week at the absolute earliest, but the Bears are still not out of the woodwork. Teddy Bridgewater has had an extra week to prepare with Norval to attack the Bears, and attack the Vikes will.

Call:
Minnesota                      27
Chicago                          20
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri
Kansas City Chiefs 13

My Call: SEA +2.5
Over/Under: Under 42.5

Analysis:
This is a very tough call. The Seattle offense — already not explosive, even at home; despite blowing out the Giants in Week 10 — is particularly stodgy on the road. The thing about the Chiefs is they play tough defense, and don’t exactly light up the skies offensively. Do not expect Marshawn Lynch to have anything close to the game that he had in Week 10, but Jamaal Charles could give Seattle fits in the passing game. Russell Wilson is a bit more clutch than Alex Smith, and with the 3-4 alignment and Hali and Houston rushing the edges for Kansas City, there will be rush lanes for Wilson to take off and run for yardage at times; including with the game on the line.

Call:
Seattle                                17
Kansas City                        13
FINAL
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Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte, North Carolina
Carolina Panthers 3

My Call: ATL +1.5
Over/Under: Under 47

Analysis:
The Falcons are on the road, yes, but Cam Newton is battered and bruised. The Falcons could realistically be in first place with a 4-6 record after this game. That is how bad the NFC South has played this year.

Call:
Atlanta                             24
Carolina                           19
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New Orleans Saints
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, Louisiana
New Orleans Saints 4

My Call: NO -7
Over/Under: Under 50.5

Analysis:
Can anyone take the Bengals seriously right now?

Call:
Cincinnati                     16
New Orleans                31
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins
FedEx Field
Landover, Maryland
Washington Redskins 3

My Call: TB +7
Over/Under: Over 45.5

Analysis:
The Skins are coming off a bye, and the Bucs are coming off yet another crushing defeat, which led Josh McCown to tears in the postgame. The Bucs have offensive weapons, and they will score, but expect the Skins to throw a few extra wrinkles into their offensive game, while blitzing McCown left and right all game.

Call:
Tampa Bay                        23
Washington                      27
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Denver Broncos vs. St. Louis Rams
Edward Jones Dome
St. Louis, Missouri
Minnesota Vikings v St. Louis Rams

My Call: STL +9.5
Over/Under: Under 50.5

Analysis:
The Rams are a tricky team to figure out. Their defense can be really good at times, and really bad at others. The Dome noise may affect Peyton Manning, but it will not be cold, which would have helped the Rams. The Rams will likely backdoor cover with a garbage time touchdown late.

Call:
Denver                        27
St. Louis                      20
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Football Giants
Giants Stadium
East Rutherford, New Jersey
New York Football Giants 5

My Call: NYG +4
Over/Under: Over 44

Analysis:
This is an elimination game for the loser. The winner may have a Wild Card hope.

San Francisco gets Aldon Smith back for this game, but Chris Borland is in for Patrick Willis, who is out for season. NaVorro Bowman may not play this season, as well. The 49ers are too inconsistent offensively to take advantage of all of the Giants injuries on defense. Colin Kaepernick may run all over the Giants the way Russell Wilson did, if not for some quickly learned adjustments from their defensive ends. Otherwise, Eli Manning will have his chances to pass against this secondary, and the Giants SHOULD win the game, particularly in getting back RB Rashad Jennings.

Call:
San Francisco                           24
NY Giants                                  27
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers
Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego, California
San Diego Chargers 3

My Call: OAK +10
Over/Under: Over 45

Analysis:
Bolts at home, coming off a bye = SU win. However, the Raiders seem to always play San Diego toughly, so look out for the backdoor cover.

Call:
Oakland                            23
San Diego                         31
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers
Lambeau Field
Green Bay, Wisconsin
Green Bay Packers 2***AMERICA’S GAME OF THE WEEK***
My Call: GB -6
Over/Under: Over 55
Analysis:
Mark Sanchez has had a nice feel good story over the past 1 1/2 games, but that comes to an end for both him and the Eagles defense. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the reckless blitzing that the Eagles engage in, and Sanchez will be reminiscent of his later New York Jets days.
Call:
Philadelphia                                       23
Green Bay                                          45
FINAL
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Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals
University of Phoenix Stadium
Glendale, Arizona
Arizona Cardinals 2My Call: ARZ -2
Over/Under: Over 41.5
Analysis:
Drew Stanton is in for Carson Palmer, but there is no real dropoff in ability. Stanton has a good arm, and a fine grasp on Bruce Arians’ offense. He played well while Palmer was out, and should again; despite facing the league’s best defense. Matthew Stafford has it no easier, facing a very aggressive Cards defense that is 1st in the NFL against the rush. Patrick Peterson against Calvin Johnson is the matchup to watch, but if Stafford is running for his life all game, things may not be so grand in the end.
Call:
Detroit                           20
Arizona                          24
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________
New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis, Indiana
Indianapolis Colts 11***SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL***
My Call: IND -3
Over/Under: Over 57.5
Analysis:
Everyone’s high on the Patriots, but they just played four of their last five at home, and did not travel further west than Buffalo in the one road game. The Patriots get a ton of officiating help at home, which will not help them in primetime in Indianapolis. Andrew Luck and the Colts are relentless offensively, and the Patriots are ill-equipped to even slow them down, much less stop them. The Patriots will score their fair share of points, though.
Call:
New England                                       27
Indianapolis                                        38
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans
LP Field
Nashville, Tennessee
Tennessee Titans 3***MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL***
My Call: PIT -5.5
Over/Under: Over 46.5
Analysis:
At what point during the offseason did anyone believe that this game deserved to be in primetime? The only intrigue is to tune in to see whether the Steelers will shave points again. Otherwise, this game will not be close.
Call:
Pittsburgh                              34
Tennessee                             17
FINAL
__________________________________________________________________
BYE: Dallas (7-3), New York Jets (2-8), Jacksonville (1-9), Baltimore (6-4).

Link

2014 NFL Week 10: What We Know

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2014 NFL Week 10: What We Know
M.D. Wright
11.12.2014

One thing we do learn annually around this time of year: the attrition of the game week to week lands more guys on IR this time of the season than any other on average for the past 25 years. And this season has been no different.

– Brian Hoyer continues to get it done, and continues to be the biggest bargain in the NFL.

– Is it time for the Bengals to eat Dalton’s franchise-crippling contract and find an actual franchise QB or nah?

– Terrance West?

– And with one twist, the Giants’ fortunes changed the entire game in Seattle. Just like every loss.

– Odell Beckham showed that he was all-world in college, now a wider swath of people who don’t watch college football are finding out.

– Beast Mode being Beast Mode in Week 10.

– Jamaal Charles 20+ touches, Chiefs win. Simple right?

– Bills defense is fun to watch.

– The Lions are the Cardiac Cats.

– Welcome back, Calvin.

– Dez Bryant did all the work, Tony Romo got all the credit.

– The Saints are in a bad way when they can’t score prolifically at home.

– Mark Ingram somehow has three straight 100-yard rushing games.

– Are the Titans averse to drafting or signing a real #1 WR?

– Justin Forsett.

– The Steelers had a WHAT IN TARNATION moment in East Rutherford. Many claims of point shaving, and it would be the only explanation.

– Michael Vick should have been starting all along for the Jets.

– Shouts to Josh McCown for showing real passion after another mind-numbing loss by the Bucs.

– Mike Evans.

– Peyton Manning yawn.

– 192 yards on 47 pass attempts for Derek Carr? Yikes.

– Darren McFadden is shot, and so is Maurice Jones-Drew. Amazing how quickly RBs can calcify in this league.

– Happy Trails Carson Palmer, get well soon.

– LARRY YAWN.

– The Packers could have scored 100 if they wanted against the Bears.

– Jay Cutler = Jeff George. Possibly his illegitimate child.

– Cam Newton needs to sit even longer than their bye. He is seriously beat up.

– Jordan Matthews?

– The reality for Mark Sanchez will set in Week 11 at Lambeau.

– We also now know that Dez Bryant will NOT be giving the Dallas Cowboys any hometown discounts. Hmmmm.

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